DISCLAIMER: Im just another crayon-eating, window-licking, smooth-brained retard with an opinion on Reddit. I wouldnt take financial advice from me and youd be a fool if you considered this financial advice. This is merely an observation based on a massive amount of weed smoke and drunken trading.

--- NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE ---

https://preview.redd.it/7amwfs14xak71.png?width=1364&format=png&auto=webp&s=70ec9acdd7178a98de97c34059690fa3c5d103bf

Above is the daily candlestick chart for AMC from Friday, May 14, 2021 to Friday, August 27, 2021

For those of you that are not familiar with a candlestick chart, a daily candlestick shows the markets open, high, low, and close price for the day. The candlestick has a wide part, which is called the real body.

This real body represents the price range between the open and close of that days trading. When the real body is filled in or black, it means the close was lower than the open. If the real body is empty, it means the close was higher than the open.

https://preview.redd.it/q2g4l398xak71.png?width=598&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee7de449c8d15b7850df57fc22d11386a5023459

Because me brain is as smooth as a babys ass, I like the candlesticks because they remind me of crayons and its easy to look at them and see bullish patterns once you know what the patterns are.

For the purposes of this TA, we will look at a three-candle pattern called the Bullish Harami, a single candle indicator that concludes a three-candle patter called the Morning Star and some other indicators it may take a wrinkle or two to make sense of but Ill make sure to include plenty of pictures and senseless emojis because most of us have the attention span of an ant (no offense to our Korean investors). πŸ˜‚πŸ€£πŸ˜‚πŸ€£

https://preview.redd.it/cx7ngjehxak71.png?width=599&format=png&auto=webp&s=80bd81578cd8906aecfd3e9c920f14cc59687539

The chart above depicts a bullish harami. The first two black candles indicate a two-day downward trend in the asset, and the white candle represents a slightly upward trend on the third day, which is completely contained by the body of the previous candle. Investors seeing this bullish harami may be encouraged by this diagram, as it can signal a reversal in the market.

https://preview.redd.it/f9zs0wxnxak71.jpg?width=1016&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=566f4ce3dc6112042a8927224da38ef8b47cf4f5

As you can see from the above AMC chart, we entered a textbook bullish harami on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 and concluded it Friday, August 27, 2021 signaling a trend reversal. πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘

Now because we like our confirmation biases confirmed around these parts, I figured Id try to find confirmation within the six day spread were looking at before allowing me tits to start jacking. After a few beers (because if Im gonna trade drunk I might as well TA drunk), I focused in on that tiny little green crayon we ended with on Friday and me wrinkle started twitching and, by golly, dat sumsabish is a morning star! πŸŽ‰πŸŽŠπŸŽ‰πŸŽŠ

https://preview.redd.it/bb98c851yak71.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=9c7a37054829e55e5cb9f77c6f3418096a514fee

A morning star forms following a downward trend and it indicates the start of an upward climb. It is a sign of a reversal in the previous price trend. As highlighted in the SS, its important to remember that the middle candle can be red or green as we look to last we charts to confirm.

https://preview.redd.it/n0di1u47yak71.jpg?width=1013&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0d3380083cc68dc2c3ba6ae803a05b826452e322

Notice the little star candle we left off Friday? Thats signaling a reversal in trend. If AMC follows the TA (and we all know thats a big if) then we definitely see green Monday.

πŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’ΉπŸ’Ή

So now that me confirmation bias is turning into an orgy of confirmations, how dafuq did I go from seeing some cool greenage Monday to seeing highs of over $170 Monday?

There are other technical indicators that can help predict if a morning star is forming, such as whether the price action is nearing a support zone or whether or not the relative strength indicator (RSI) is showing that the stock or commodity is oversold.

https://preview.redd.it/eq76u38yyak71.png?width=612&format=png&auto=webp&s=5b00aaa4c91467ebaa9a2b7a6204acacc63cf893

The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that moves between two extremes) and can have a reading from 0 to 100.

Generally, when the RSI surpasses the horizontal 30 reference level, it is a bullish sign, and when it slides below the horizontal 70 reference level, it is a bearish sign but, like all things stock related, its not always as simple as picking a number. Sometimes you may have to look for divergences.

A bullish divergence occurs when the RSI creates an oversold reading followed by a higher low that matches correspondingly lower lows in the price. This indicates rising bullish momentum, and a break above oversold territory could be used to trigger a new long position.

https://preview.redd.it/uhgan994zak71.png?width=598&format=png&auto=webp&s=5e885655fbf651508b3d09da4bc1f6b6f78f94f1

So to further bias my confirmations, we have to look at the bigger picture. Weve all heard the OG silverbacks say it repeatedly, When in doubt, zoom out., and thats exactly what we are going to do. 🦍πŸ’ͺ🦍πŸ’ͺ🦍πŸ’ͺ

Notice the lower lows?

Ever since Wednesday, July 14th, 2021 the RSI lows have been slowly creeping up, signaling a bullish trend.

The RSI lows dropped up until recently where they have begun rising again

Im not the best at maffs but me thinks that makes for a four-way confirmation bias. So how big of a confirmation bias can we turn this into? I aint real sure yet but we about to find out together. πŸΊπŸ€ πŸ‘

Another indicator we can use to further confirm our bias is the moving average convergence divergence or MACD.

https://preview.redd.it/55aav4w10bk71.png?width=617&format=png&auto=webp&s=96a9b0bfded93fd5bf164cb28766642cc38f5a1e

The MACD measures the relationship between two EMAs, while the RSI measures price change in relation to recent price highs and lows. These two indicators are often used together to provide analysts with a more complete technical picture of a market.

For example, the RSI may show a reading above 70 for a sustained period of time, indicating a market is overextended to the buy side in relation to recent prices, while the MACD indicates the market is still increasing in buying momentum. Either indicator may signal an upcoming trend change by showing divergence from price (price continues higher while the indicator turns lower, or vice versa).

If we zoom out again we can easily notice a trend in the MACD. Begining Monday, August 16th, 2021 we started an upward trend in the MACD.

If we look back to just before the June 02, 2021 run-up, we see the exact same uptick in the MACD. To be precise, we see a seven day uptick, followed by four days of rapidly rising MACD and then BOOM ... we jump to highs of $72

https://preview.redd.it/obx5d3w90bk71.jpg?width=1364&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=93980c827d2afdca7627d4d50e34663097a4847f

Would ya look at that apes? Not only does the candlestick chart look eerily close to what we saw on the June run-up but the MACD and RSI are showing virtually the same properties that they were when we ran up in June. πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€

Now that weve unpacked all the elements involved in this equation, lets put them all back together and see if we can get a clearer picture of what the immediate future holds.

First lets look at the run up to $72on June 2nd. Notice the MACD is steadily climbing but the RSI is well over 80 before we jump to $72? That tells me that even though the RSI indicates an overbought condition, there is still plenty of room to grow given the right circumstances

https://preview.redd.it/mevxcv0q0bk71.jpg?width=1372&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a0ffe8d2889bb6b1a72caaa873b8ac584c6aa79b

Well if we look at the current run-up that ended Friday, we have matching candle patterns, MACD starting to pop (7 day span concluded, moving into 4 day span of growth) but the RSI is no where near the 80 it was at prior indicating that there is still plenty of room to grow.

https://preview.redd.it/415i4b6s0bk71.jpg?width=1372&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=df4e88f684f73083d796e518eefd303976e3fa2b

By now, all of you should be familiar with the parabolic arc theory that has been floating around the last couple of weeks. Im not going to pretend to understand the math behind it nor pretend to be able to validate the claims made in it. Im simply going to have faith that the wrinkle-brained mofos that figured it out know what theyre talking about.

If we look at the statistics from the previous run-up, we see an open of $12.38, a low of $12.17, a high of $72.60 and a close of $62.55 during the seven day trading period concluding on June 02, 2021 with a corresponding rate of increase right around 405%

When compared to the current run up, we see an open of $33.90, a low of $32.20, a high of $48.30 and a close of $40.84 during the six day trading period leading up to Monday. We are currently up around 20.5% leaving room for a perspective increase of an additional 384.5% from our Friday closing price of $40.84 meaning we have a good chance of closing as high as $197.68

If we see the same increase we saw over a seven day period then we may see an increase of 405% from the opening price of $33.90 or a closing price of about $171.19 Monday.

Like always, AMC does whatever dafuq it wants so take it with a grain of salt but we could be looking at triple digits as soon as Monday.

TL/DR -- Buy what you can, when you can and HODL until the end.

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